Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.157993 0.174606 0.191566 0.210133 0.229848 0.250120 0.272501
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.137380 0.160710 0.185377 0.213265 0.243786 0.276046 0.312592
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.120350 0.148140 0.178446 0.213661 0.253173 0.295872 0.345235
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.107562 0.138706 0.173626 0.215187 0.262821 0.315257 0.376888
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.095709 0.129106 0.167555 0.214345 0.269017 0.330199 0.403161
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.088482 0.124205 0.166294 0.218492 0.280476 0.350783 0.435616
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.080542 0.117715 0.162534 0.219160 0.287449 0.365907 0.461620
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.073322 0.111513 0.158606 0.219164 0.293264 0.379409 0.485557
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.066320 0.105032 0.153856 0.217740 0.297016 0.390225 0.506168
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.061413 0.100924 0.151778 0.219350 0.304234 0.405009 0.531379
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.058723 0.099590 0.153095 0.225099 0.316458 0.425777 0.563748
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.054254 0.095461 0.150488 0.225619 0.322023 0.438389 0.586307
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.051600 0.093837 0.151237 0.230602 0.333427 0.458472 0.618384
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.047930 0.090479 0.149448 0.232120 0.340362 0.473054 0.643846
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043892 0.086279 0.146267 0.231603 0.344558 0.484175 0.665069
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040727 0.083172 0.144423 0.232728 0.350768 0.497751 0.689306
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.037146 0.079140 0.141049 0.231590 0.353895 0.507377 0.708629
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035405 0.077927 0.141639 0.235823 0.364037 0.525853 0.738983
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.032805 0.075105 0.139722 0.236457 0.369336 0.538149 0.761638
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.030236 0.072131 0.137422 0.236426 0.373658 0.549148 0.782660
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.027504 0.068653 0.134181 0.234911 0.375872 0.557370 0.800154
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.025731 0.066737 0.133229 0.236594 0.382368 0.571103 0.824638
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.025050 0.066770 0.135286 0.242631 0.394828 0.592630 0.859113